Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Valencia B		Poblense

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.92	2.62
	2.6	2.87	2.96
	2.57	2.87	2.86	Watch
	2.6	2.7	2.8
	2.53	2.8	2.79
	2.54	2.9	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)	2.84 ↓ (2.95)	2.81 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia B
35.6%

Draw
32%

Poblense
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

33%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Valencia B - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Dominguez M. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Gamon R. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Prohens J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 2 - 2, Penyafort T. ⚽,
90+2', Montiel Rodriguez L. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Valencia B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Poblense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Poblense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valencia B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Valencia B	5	1	1	3	5:7	-2	4
16	Poblense	5	1	0	4	3:7	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia B - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.37%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.02.26	Atlético Baleares - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Valencia B - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Valencia B - Barbastro	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Porreres - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Valencia B - Torrent	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTTW
- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.02.26	Poblense - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Barbastro - Poblense	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Poblense - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Olot - Poblense	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Poblense - Girona B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
16.11.25	Poblense - Valencia B	1:0

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