Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Atlético Arteixo		Noia

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.95
	1.58	3.56	5.35
	1.47	3.80	7.31	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.55	3.48	5.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	3.53 ↓ (3.58)	5.8 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Arteixo
58.4%

Draw
25.9%

Noia
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.4%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

23.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Arteixo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Arteixo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Atlético Arteixo - Noia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Arteixo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Noia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Atlético Arteixo is a strong favorite.

We predict that Atlético Arteixo will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Arteixo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Arteixo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Atletico Arteixo	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Arteixo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Somozas - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
19.03.26	Atlético Arteixo - Montañeros	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Arosa - Atlético Arteixo	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Arteixo - Viveiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWWTW
- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	Noia - Compostela	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Estradense - Noia	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Noia - Somozas	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Montañeros - Noia	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Noia - Arosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Noia - Atlético Arteixo	2:3
17.04.25	Atlético Arteixo - Noia	1:1
15.09.24	Noia - Atlético Arteixo	1:0

Atlético Arteixo - Noia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide