The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Noia 20.8%
Draw 27.5%
Arosa 51.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20%
25.9%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
25.4%
55.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Noia - Arosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Gabri Palmas ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
Noia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arosa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Arosa is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Noia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Arosa - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.05%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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