Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Balear (Palma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	IB3


	Atlético Baleares		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.2	5.75
	1.61	3.2	6
	1.64	3.31	6.19
	1.61	3.26	6.22	Watch
	1.63	3.32	5.94
	1.61	3.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.93)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	6.02 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
56.6%

Draw
28.2%

Cornellà
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

27.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Baleares's performance.

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cornellà might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Baleares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cornellà could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Baleares - Cornellà Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Kouassi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Tovar J. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baleares won 1.

Recent matches Baleares is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cornellà is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baleares could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baleares is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Baleares won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:17 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Baleares won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.01.25	Peña Deportiva - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Atlético Baleares - Lleida	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	CE Europa - Atlético Baleares	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Atlético Baleares - Mallorca B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWW
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.01.25	Cornellà - Lleida	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Cornellà - Andratx	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Cornellà - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Torrent - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.09.24	Cornellà - Atlético Baleares	0:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.02.23	Atlético Baleares - Cornellà	2:3
18.09.22	Cornellà - Atlético Baleares	1:0
03.04.22	Atlético Baleares - Cornellà	0:0
29.08.21	Cornellà - Atlético Baleares	0:2
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
23.07.20	Atlético Baleares - Cornellà	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.04.19	Atlético Baleares - Cornellà	2:0

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