Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 25

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Balear (Palma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, IB3


	Atlético Baleares		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.6	3
	2.61	2.7	3.15
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.09)	2.65 ↓ (3.16)	3.08 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
36%

Draw
34.4%

Sabadell
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Baleares's form might have worsened.

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Atlético Baleares - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Castell G. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Ramon A. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baleares won 1.

Recent matches Baleares is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sabadell is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Baleares will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13:20 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.02.25	Badalona Futur - Atlético Baleares	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético Baleares - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Terrassa - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Baleares - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Peña Deportiva - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTTT
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.02.25	Sabadell - Sant Andreu	0:4 ✺
16.02.25	Cornellà - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Sabadell - Lleida	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Sabadell - Andratx	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.10.24	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	3:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.04.23	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	3:1
15.01.23	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	0:1
06.02.22	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	1:0
24.10.21	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.02.19	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	0:0
16.09.18	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	1:2

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