Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Baleares		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.38
	2.9	2.8	2.35
	2.9	3.25	2.35
	3.09	2.95	2.54
	3.09	2.94	2.55
	2.96	2.95	2.49
	2.9	2.95	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.91)	2.98 ↓ (3.23)	2.44 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
31.2%

Draw
31%

San Fernando
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.5%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Atlético Baleares - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 2. Campabadal E. 14. Navarro D. 5. Jaume J. 15. Juanra 23. Ferroni L. 17. Alarcon R. 6. Villapalos A. (C) 10. Pastrana V. 16. Rodriguez D. 11. Rochina R.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 5. Blanco C. 15. Ruiz V. 23. Ramirez J. 7. Biabiany J. 21. Arroyo N. 8. Martin A. 20. Masogo A. 16. Herrera C. 11. Aquino D.
Substitutes
31. Andrews G. 18. Azeez M. 12. Gonzalez R. 13. Lario J. (G) 7. Marong N. 21. Nana 22. Ofoli F. 30. Ortega D. 8. Ramon A. 33. Rivas 4. Zalaya A.	13. Arana E. (G) 22. Davila Y. 4. Farrando M. 14. Fullana F. 12. Lopez A. 19. Martinez P. 6. Molina D. 10. Ramos D. 9. Ribeiro 17. Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Martin A. 🟨,
32', Biabiany J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Aquino D. ⚽,
57', Pastrana V. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
61', Herrera C. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
66', Arroyo N. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
66', Biabiany J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
72', Masogo A. ⚽,
73', Navarro D. ↓, Marong N. ↑,
73', Alarcon R. ↓, Ortega D. ↑,
74', Blanco C. 🟨,
77', Marong N. 🟨,
86', Rochina R. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', Martinez P. ↓, Fullana F. ↑,
87', Martin A. ↓, Ribeiro ↑,
87', Villapalos A. ↓, Azeez M. ↑,
87', Ferroni L. ↓, Andrews G. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Baleares won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.03.24	Córdoba - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Baleares - Castellón	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Atlético Baleares - Antequera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.03.24	San Fernando - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Castellón - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	San Fernando - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Antequera - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	San Fernando - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.23	San Fernando - Atlético Baleares	1:1
28.05.22	San Fernando - Atlético Baleares	0:4
09.02.22	Atlético Baleares - San Fernando	1:1

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