Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 16

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Referee: Trujilano L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana, M+ Ellas V


	Atlético Madrid		Espanyol

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	4.95	9	Watch
	1.29	5.25	9.68	Watch
	1.25	4.8	9
	1.3	5.21	9.38
	1.27	5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)	5.04 ↑ (4.89)	9.31 ↑ (8.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
72%

Draw
18.2%

Espanyol
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

19%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

14.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Atlético Madrid - Espanyol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lola (C) 23. Alexia 4. Lauren Leal 11. Menayo C. 3. Medina A. 6. Boe Risa V. 17. Bartel J. 21. Iannuzzi F. 20. Sarriegi A. 7. Jensen S. 22. Luany	1. Salvador R. (G) 2. Botero E. 14. Balleste L. 5. Vallejo L. 22. Caracas D. 20. Torroda A. 8. Campo A. (C) 35. Domenech A. 10. Baudet C. 11. Baradad O. 9. Angeles
Substitutes
16. Chinchilla P. 9. Guijarro S. 46. Gutierrez D. 13. Larque P. (G) 27. Martin N. 14. Otermin R. 5. Perez X. 19. Portales Nieto M. 41. Rodriguez L.	19. Arana P. 23. Browne P. 29. Domenech A. 17. Garcia N. 13. Munoz M. (G) 7. Pablos J. 6. Torras M.
Coaches
Martin V.	Monforte S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Angeles 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Torroda A. ⚽,
66', Baradad O. ↓, Torras M. ↑,
66', Campo A. ↓, Arana P. ↑,
73', Botero E. 🟨,
77', Angeles ↓, Browne P. ↑,
77', Sarriegi A. ↓, Guijarro S. ↑,
77', Boe Risa V. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
79', Menayo C. 🟨,
81', Salvador R. 🟨,
86', Domenech A. ↓, Pablos J. ↑,
86', Luany ↓, Portales Nieto M. ↑,
87', Caracas D. ↓, Domenech A. ↑,
87', Caracas D. 🟨,
90+2', Lola 🟨,
90+10', Baudet C. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 3.

Atlético Madrid has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Espanyol has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Espanyol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atlético Madrid has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético Madrid is the obvious favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:5. (average 2.5:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:3. (average 3.2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atl. Madrid W	6	3	0	3	10:11	-1	9
7	Espanyol W	6	2	2	2	9:6	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 69.93%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid Féminas
Spanish Liga F Women
14.01.26	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	5:0 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	5:5 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Alhama - Atlético Madrid	1:2 penalties ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
17.12.25	OL Lyonnes - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTWLT
- RCD Espanyol Women
Spanish Liga F Women
11.01.26	Espanyol - Granada	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
20.12.25	Espanyol - Real Madrid	0:4 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
13.12.25	Levante - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Espanyol - Madrid CFF	2:5 ✺
22.11.25	Badalona - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
31.08.25	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	0:5
16.03.25	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	1:1
02.11.24	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	0:0
05.06.21	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	4:1
03.10.20	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	0:2
23.11.19	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	3:0
22.04.19	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	0:1

Atlético Madrid - Espanyol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide