Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 15

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Referee: Pelaez Arnillas E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana, ETB, Gol Play, GolStadium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Atlético Madrid		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.55	3.85
	1.85	4.21	3.44	Watch
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	1.79	3.76	4.08
	1.9	3.75	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	3.77 ↑ (3.58)	3.66 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
50.7%

Draw
24.3%

Real Sociedad
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

28.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lola (C) 23. Alexia 4. Lauren Leal 15. Lloris S. 3. Medina A. 6. Boe Risa V. 17. Bartel J. 22. Luany 21. Iannuzzi F. 7. Jensen S. 20. Sarriegi A.	13. Arrula J. (G) 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 4. Aparicio N. 3. Vicente A. (C) 24. Agirrezabala A. 8. Jacinto A. 22. Cahynova K. 5. Fernandez P. 21. Ramirez E. 23. Imade E. 14. Eguiguren I.
Substitutes
34. Barrios C. 31. Bucero A. (G) 16. Chinchilla P. 28. Gomez C. 46. Gutierrez D. 13. Larque P. (G) 27. Martin N. 11. Menayo C. 14. Otermin R. 5. Perez X. 19. Portales Nieto M. 41. Rodriguez L.	19. Aparicio A. 10. Eizaguirre N. 1. Estensoro A. (G) 2. Florentino C. 6. Guridi E. 18. Lavogez C. 11. Marcos C. 7. Pardo L. 9. Uria Gabilondo M.
Coaches
Martin V.	Ruiz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Eguiguren I. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Jensen S. ⚽, Bartel J. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Luany ⚽,
29', 2 - 2, Imade E. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
32', 2 - 3, Imade E. ⚽, Jacinto A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
48', 3 - 3, Bartel J. ⚽, Boe Risa V. (A),
54', Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 🟨,
57', 4 - 3, Sarriegi A. ⚽,
64', 5 - 3, Jensen S. ⚽, Sarriegi A. (A),
65', 5 - 4, Ramirez E. ⚽,
70', Eguiguren I. ↓, Eizaguirre N. ↑,
70', Ramirez E. ↓, Aparicio A. ↑,
76', Boe Risa V. ↓, Portales Nieto M. ↑,
76', Lauren Leal ↓, Perez X. ↑,
79', 5 - 5, Imade E. ⚽, Aparicio A. (A),
86', Sarriegi A. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
89', Vicente A. ↓, Florentino C. ↑,
90+2', Luany ↓, Chinchilla P. ↑,
90+2', Medina A. 🟨,
90+6', Aparicio A. ↓, Pardo L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 3.

Recent performances by Atlético Madrid have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Sociedad is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Atlético Madrid is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:16. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atl. Madrid W	6	3	0	3	10:11	-1	9
15	Real Sociedad W	6	1	2	3	7:11	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid Féminas
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Alhama - Atlético Madrid	1:2 penalties ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
17.12.25	OL Lyonnes - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
10.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
06.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTTT
- Real Sociedad Women
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad	1:4 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Real Sociedad - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Sociedad - Alhama	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
23.03.25	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:2
19.10.24	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	1:0
28.04.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:2
Spanish Copa De La Reina
13.03.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	2:1
06.03.24	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	1:1
Spanish Liga F Women
16.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	1:1
04.03.23	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:2

Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide