The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Madrid 67.5%
Draw 19%
Madrid CFF 13.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.4%
20.8%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
20.5%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid's performance.
Madrid CFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Atlético Madrid - Madrid CFF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lola (C) 2. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 4. Lauren Leal 19. Calligaris V. 11. Otermin R. 10. Iannuzzi F. 6. Zubieta M. 14. Penalvo N. 18. Gio Garbelini 7. Jensen S. 16. Segura C.
1. Ulloa P. (C) 6. Gonzalez Rosa A. 2. Taylor K. 4. Villafane S. 12. Lejeune R. 14. Carrasco R. 21. Rivas M. 10. Debora Bebe 8. Holt E. 23. Nautnes E. 7. Ouzraoui S.
Substitutes
23. Alexia 21. Csiszar H. 20. Gabi Nunes 9. Hermoso J. 12. Kuhl K. 22. Luany 13. Perez G. (G) 5. Perez X. 3. Rodriguez L.
13. de Gracia B. (G) 28. Hernandez S. 17. Herrera A. 9. Leon P. 5. Monica 11. Ruiz A. 18. Silva M. 24. Ubamba H.
Coaches
Gonzalez D.
Sanchez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
13', Penalvo N. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Jensen S. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Segura C. ⚽,
26', Debora Bebe 🟨,
36', Lejeune R. 🟨,
37', 3 - 0, Iannuzzi F. (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', 4 - 0, Jensen S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ouzraoui S. ↓, Ubamba H. ↑,
46', Penalvo N. ↓, Csiszar H. ↑,
46', Holt E. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
46', Debora Bebe ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
52', Lauren Leal 🟨,
58', Csiszar H. 🟨,
61', Segura C. ↓, Luany ↑,
65', Taylor K. 🟨,
73', Iannuzzi F. ↓, Hermoso J. ↑,
73', Jensen S. ↓, Gabi Nunes ↑,
76', Carrasco R. ↓, Monica ↑,
76', Lejeune R. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
81', Lauren Leal ↓, Perez X. ↑,
82', Lola 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 2.
Atlético Madrid has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Madrid CFF shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this matchup, Atlético Madrid is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Madrid has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 36:12 (averaging 2.1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Madrid against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:8 goals (averaging 2:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Atl. Madrid W
8
5
0
3
18:11
7
15
5
Madrid CFF W
8
4
2
2
13:15
-2
14
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Madrid - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 62.41%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.