Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Atlético Madrid B		Teruel

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.1	5.5
	1.7	3.2	5.3
	1.75	3.26	5.39
	1.56	3.72	6.16	Watch
	1.7	3.14	5.2
	1.72	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.56)	3.25 ↓ (3.72)	5.38 ↓ (6.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
54.7%

Draw
28.2%

Teruel
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

25.1%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

24.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid B's form might have worsened.

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Atlético Madrid B - Teruel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Madrid B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Teruel will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Teruel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Esquivel S. (G) 5. Martinez D. 18. Puric A. 3. Diaz J. 4. Bonar J. 14. Morcillo J. 15. Bellotti M. 10. Belaid R. 23. Ortiz A. 7. Luque I. 30. Llorente M.	13. Ruben Galvez (G) 18. del Moral A. 4. Van Rijn N. 5. Goyo Medina 27. Lucena M. 14. Relu 6. Redon H. 16. Albisua H. 21. Padilla J. 11. Alvaro Merencio 7. Moreno S.
Substitutes
8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 22. Gimenez C. 9. Janneh O. 11. Koke 26. Monserrate J. 33. Morales L. (G) 24. Najera R. 21. Sits D. 12. Spina G.	9. Arguigue Safsati A. 8. Blesa Alex 3. Fondarella D. 22. Joseda 29. Marti A. 1. Palop A. (G) 10. Sutherland T. 17. Traore M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Belaid R. 🟨,
39', Luque I. 🟨,
45+8', Relu 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Llorente M. ⚽,
51', 2 - 0, Belaid R. ⚽,
56', Alvaro Merencio ↓, Sutherland T. ↑,
56', Relu ↓, Joseda ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Ortiz A. ⚽,
68', Llorente M. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
68', Luque I. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
72', Puric A. ↓, Spina G. ↑,
84', Belaid R. ↓, Koke ↑,
84', Ortiz A. ↓, Janneh O. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Atlético Madrid B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Teruel's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Madrid B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Madrid B is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.11.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Eldense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Madrid B - CE Europa	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWL
- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.11.25	Teruel - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Real Murcia - Teruel	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Teruel - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Teruel - Marbella	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Sant Andreu - Teruel	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL

Upcoming Matches