The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnástic de Tarragona 38.3%
Draw 29.8%
Atlético Madrid B 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
28.2%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
28.6%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rebollo D. (G) 2. Camus S. 4. Alba D. 5. Morgado C. 16. Moi 17. Martinez P. 8. Montalvo M. 10. Jardi J. 14. Sanz O. (C) 19. Fuentes J. 11. Jimenez A.
31. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 3. Diaz J. 7. Luque I. 18. Bellotti M. 10. Belaid R. 6. Serrano J. 23. Ortiz A. 9. Janneh O.
Substitutes
22. Alvaro Garcia 31. Alves A. 30. Cabezas D. 26. Esteves E. (G) 13. Fuidias T. (G) 7. Junca D. 18. Kaptoum W. 9. Omoigui C. 6. Prendes M. 21. Pujol E. 20. Santos S. 15. Torres F.
20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 22. Gimenez C. 28. Hueso R. 11. Koke 30. Llorente M. 26. Monserrate J. 33. Morales L. (G) 14. Morcillo J. 12. Spina G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Puric A. 🟨,
27', Camus S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Janneh O. ⚽,
31', Fuentes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Janneh O. 🟨,
52', Belaid R. 🟨,
54', Belaid R. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
54', Bellotti M. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
63', Martinez P. ↓, Omoigui C. ↑,
65', 🟨,
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', Monserrate J. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 3, Serrano J. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
Gimnàstic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético Madrid B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Atlético Madrid B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Last Results with these Odds
Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.