Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Torres M. B. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	3.10
	2.15	3.20	2.87
	2.16	3.20	2.90
	2.19	3.33	3.21
	2.54	3.53	2.54	Watch
	2.11	3.25	3.15
	2.23	3.22	3.22
	2.20	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.42)	3.26 ↓ (3.45)	2.99 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
41.3%

Draw
28.1%

Atlético Madrid B
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.9%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.3%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 21. Athuman I. 5. Van Rijn N. 23. Royo M. (C) 22. Joseda 10. Eugeni 8. Montalvo M. 17. Almansa A. 16. Babanzilla M. 20. Segura C. 12. Bakis S.	13. Astralaga A. (G) 14. Hueso R. 29. Gil Rodriguez M. 3. Gil J. 22. Sola A. 20. Alcaniz E. 15. Garcia D. 21. Kamate I. 19. Domenech M. 10. Cubo M. 8. Castillo J. (C)
Substitutes
13. Abril V. (G) 6. Gabarri T. 14. Gelardo A. 4. Gil F. 15. Jose Amo 18. Katsushima S. 9. Marco P. 19. Prohens J. 24. Ramirez D. 7. Sanchez B. 2. Subirats O. 3. Villote V.	17. Alvaro J. 27. Aznar J. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 38. Cuellar M. 1. de Luis M. (G) 2. Diez S. 5. Gimenez C. 16. Helguera T. 7. Koke 6. Munoz D. 32. Pan Abajo P. 18. Seidu T.
Coaches
Campos X.	Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Van Rijn N. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Joseda ⚽,
17', Gil Rodriguez M. 🟨,
41', Segura C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Athuman I. ↓, Gil F. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Segura C. ⚽, Montalvo M. (A),
65', Kamate I. ↓, Koke ↑,
65', Sola A. ↓, Aznar J. ↑,
65', Gil Rodriguez M. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
68', Bakis S. ↓, Marco P. ↑,
74', Hueso R. 🟨,
74', Segura C. ↓, Prohens J. ↑,
74', Babanzilla M. ↓, Gabarri T. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Koke (Penalty Awarded),
82', Domenech M. ↓, Cuellar M. ↑,
82', Alcaniz E. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
88', Gil F. 🟨,
90', Almansa A. ↓, Villote V. ↑,
90+4', Villote V. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 15th and 12th).

Gimnàstic is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Atlético Madrid B have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Atlético Madrid B may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Gimnàstic has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gimnàstic against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Gimnastic	9	4	2	3	15:14	1	14
14	Atl. Madrid B	9	2	4	3	17:15	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.35%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.10.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sant Andreu	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Algeciras	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLW
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.26	Atlético Madrid B - Zaragoza	4:4 ✺
02.10.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	3:2 ✺
25.09.26	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Huesca - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2
02.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B	0:3

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