Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 9

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes (Nova Lima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, N Sports, Sky+, Vivo Play


	Atlético Mineiro		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.92	2.32
	3.14	2.92	2.44
	3.16	2.97	2.4	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.3
	3	3.04	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)	2.93 ↑ (2.85)	2.35 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
30%

Draw
31.1%

Fluminense
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

31.6%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

31.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maike (G) 17. Amalia 6. Diovanna 23. Hingredy (C) 10. Isadora Freitas 4. Karen Bender 8. Laura Maria 2. Nine 55. Pimenta 18. Ramos C. 27. Thalita	99. Kemelli (G) 26. Anny 33. Cotrim 15. Debora Sorriso (C) 35. Driely 11. Kamilla 8. Karina 20. Keke 21. Lele 77. Raquel 10. Sochor
Substitutes
9. Anny Maraba 22. Caniza I. (G) 11. Day 12. Iasmin Paixao (G) 28. Kaiuska 16. Karol Dias 29. Karol S. 7. Kelen 3. Lopez Maldonado V. G. 19. Ludy 33. Maiara 30. Rafinha	7. Bruna Pele 13. Cacau 18. Camila Oliveira 5. Claudinha 97. Dani Venturini 81. Duarte K. 3. Gislaine 12. Leticia Bussatto (G) 4. Nath Rodrigues 6. Tata

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Sochor 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Nine ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Ramos C. 🟨,
57', Debora Sorriso 🟨,
59', Diovanna 🟨,
59', Karina ↓, Bruna Pele ↑,
63', Pimenta ↓, Anny Maraba ↑,
72', Nine 🟥,
75', Ramos C. ↓, Karol Dias ↑,
76', Debora Sorriso ↓, Gislaine ↑,
78', Driely ↓, Claudinha ↑,
83', Isadora Freitas 🟨,
87', Anny ↓, Duarte K. ↑,
88', Raquel 🟨,
90', Thalita ↓, Kaiuska ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Duarte K. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
27.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
27.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLWL
- Fluminense RJ Women
Brasileiro Women
26.04.26	Mixto - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Fluminense - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Fluminense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
26.03.26	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
23.03.26	Fluminense - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
16.03.24	Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro	3:0

Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide