The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 30.6%
Draw 29.3%
Internacional 40.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.3%
29.5%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
31.8%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.
Internacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Internacional's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Barbieri (G) 28. Aninha 14. Bianca Martins 15. Debora 9. Jaimes S. 5. Lele 18. Mylena J. 8. Paola Pereira 20. Pati Llanos 4. Sorriso 23. Valeria Cantuario
Substitutes
9. Anny Maraba 22. Caniza I. (G) 11. Day 5. Ju Pacheco 28. Kaiuska 4. Karen Bender 7. Kelen 20. Lari Sanchez 8. Laura Maria 15. Marta Edyth 18. Ramos C. 26. Tay Belarmino
25. Alice 29. Alice Goedert 11. Catyellen 7. Darlene 10. Julia Bianchi 12. Mari Ribeiro (G) 22. Mayara Vaz 21. Paulinha 36. Sarah Maciel
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Mylena J. ↓, Catyellen ↑,
59', Pati Llanos ↓, Julia Bianchi ↑,
70', Isadora Freitas ↓, Laura Maria ↑,
72', Aninha ↓, Mayara Vaz ↑,
84', Barbara Melo ↓, Karen Bender ↑,
84', Thalita ↓, Kaiuska ↑,
90', Paola Pereira ↓, Darlene ↑,
90', Lele ↓, Paulinha ↑,
90+4', Lari Danielle ↓, Ju Pacheco ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Kaiuska (Penalty Awarded),
1, Jaimes S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Hingredy (Penalty Awarded),
2, Julia Bianchi (Penalty Awarded),
3, Barraca (Penalty Awarded),
3, Debora (Penalty Awarded),
4, Laura Maria (Penalty Awarded),
4, Bianca Martins (Penalty Awarded),
5, Karen (Penalty Awarded),
5, Catyellen (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
Atlético MG has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Internacional shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Internacional could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Atlético MG has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:9 (averaging 0.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético MG against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 0:4 goals (averaging 0:1.3 per game).