The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 52.4%
Draw 27.1%
América de Cali 20.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.1%
25.1%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
24.6%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
28.6%
0%
Atlético Nacional - América de Cali Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Nacional will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Castillo H. (G) 6. Roman A. 28. Garcia S. 16. Tesillo W. 20. Casco M. 80. Zapata J. 7. Moreno M. 19. Rengifo J. 10. Cardona E. 29. Sarmiento A. 27. Asprilla D.
12. Soto J. (G) 13. Castillo M. 2. Torres M. 22. Hernandez N. 30. Bertel O. 8. Borrero D. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 6. Cavadia J. 19. Palacios J. 10. Guzman Y. 35. Angulo K.
Substitutes
30. Bauza J. 18. Bello E. 44. Catano K. (G) 4. Haydar C. 9. Morelos A. 31. Rios X. 13. Rodriguez N. 5. Uribe C. 8. Uribe M.
16. Correa B. 18. Garces Y. 1. Jean (G) 17. Lucumi J. 11. Machis D. 4. Mosquera A. 25. Romero J. 3. Rosero D. 23. Sierra C.
Coaches
Arias D.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Casco M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Borrero D. ⚽, Bertel O. (A),
41', Jean 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Roman A. 🟨,
59', Asprilla D. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
59', Sarmiento A. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Rengifo J. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
67', Cardona E. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
68', Rengifo J. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
71', Hernandez N. 🟥,
74', Borrero D. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
75', Angulo K. ↓, Mosquera A. ↑,
78', Zapata J. 🟨,
79', Moreno M. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
85', Bello E. 🟨,
86', Guzman Y. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
86', Palacios J. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2.
Atlético Nacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
América de Cali is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, América de Cali has had a series of home games.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 2:0.7).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Atl. Nacional ✔
15
10
2
3
30:13
17
32
2
America De Cali ✔
15
9
4
2
29:11
18
31
Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now
Atl. Nacional: 23.51% America De Cali: 18.28%
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Nacional - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.06%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.