Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Atlético Nacional		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 (1.95)	3.45 (3.45)	3.85 (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
48.3%

Draw
27.3%

Independiente Medellín
24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atlético Nacional have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Independiente Medellín have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Atlético Nacional is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Nacional has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:28 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:15 goals (averaging 1.6:1.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Nacional - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.27%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
30.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Nacional	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTLW
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
05.10.26	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
11.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	2:3
Colombian Copa
17.12.25	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	0:1
13.12.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	0:0
Colombian Primera A
04.12.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	2:1
23.11.25	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	0:0
26.10.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	5:2
07.09.25	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	3:3

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