The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 57.9%
Draw 23.4%
Independiente Medellín 18.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.1%
21.9%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.4%
21.1%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Armani F. (G) 6. Roman A. 3. Parra N. 16. Tesillo W. 33. Velasquez S. 22. Cabrera E. 21. Campuzano J. 8. Uribe M. 26. Marin F. 10. Cardona E. (C) 23. Rodriguez J.
1. Ichazo S. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 39. Escorcia L. 19. Simarra A. 18. Fabra F. 11. Yony Gonzalez 6. Moreno D. (C) 16. Loboa H. 20. Montano J. 21. Martegani A. 32. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
20. Casco M. 4. Haydar C. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 9. Morelos A. 19. Rengifo J. 31. Rios X. 13. Rodriguez N. 29. Sarmiento A. 80. Zapata J.
10. Catano D. 25. Chaux E. (G) 34. Klinger K. 17. Mancilla G. 4. Mantilla K. 9. Medina J. 31. Moreno D. 14. Perlaza B. 5. Varela J.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Perea L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Loboa H. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Simarra A. ⚽,
32', Cardona E. 🟨,
41', Escorcia L. 🟨,
45+1', Moreno D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Cardona E. ⚽, Cabrera E. (A),
56', Uribe M. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
58', Lucumi C. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
62', Parra N. ↓, Haydar C. ↑,
65', Fabra F. ↓, Mancilla G. ↑,
65', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Sarmiento A. ⚽, Velasquez S. (A),
77', Cardona E. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
77', Rodriguez J. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
77', Roman A. ↓, Rios X. ↑,
77', Moreno D. ↓,
77', Loboa H. ↓, Mantilla K. ↑,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 7th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4.
Atlético Nacional is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ind Medellín is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ind Medellín could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Atlético Nacional for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Nacional has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:28 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:15 goals (averaging 1.6:1.5 per game).
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Armani F. (G) 
Roman A. 
Ichazo S. (G) 
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