The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Millonarios 42%
Draw 30.8%
América de Cali 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
29.3%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
29.2%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.3%
40%
6.7%
Millonarios - América de Cali Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - América de Cali (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 50%). América de Cali (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Novoa D. (G) 3. Diaz Samuel M. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 17. Arias J. (C) 20. Banguero D. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 5. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 28. Vega S. 33. Castro A. 23. Castro L. 99. Hurtado J.
1. Graterol J. (G) 13. Castillo M. 2. Bocanegra D. 24. Pestana J. 31. Bertel O. 5. Escobar J. 10. Carrascal R. (C) 7. Barrios C. 8. Borrero D. 17. Lucumi J. 9. Ramos L.
Substitutes
22. Arboleda I. (G) 10. Bruno Savio 80. Canozales C. 32. Giordana S. 70. Mosquera E. 35. Mosquera S. 6. Mosquera S. 13. Palacios H. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S.
92. Candelo Y. 36. Garces Y. 11. Murillo J. 88. Palacios T. 19. Paz L. 20. Ramos A. 15. Roa A. 27. Silva S. (G) 6. Tovar C.
Coaches
Torres H.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Lucumi J. ⚽, Barrios C. (A),
51', Hurtado J. 🟨,
60', Hurtado J. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
60', Diaz Samuel M. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
66', Bertel O. ↓, Candelo Y. ↑,
66', Borrero D. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
66', Lucumi J. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
74', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
74', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Victoria Palacios D. S. ⚽, Banguero D. (A),
76', Ramos L. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
81', Barrios C. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
81', Palacios T. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Castro L. (Pen),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 1.
Millonarios has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
América de Cali is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Millonarios might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).