Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Onubense		Sevilla C

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.82	2.92
	2.43	2.91	3.04
	2.42	2.93	3.01
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.41	2.8	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.6)	2.83 ↑ (2.79)	2.98 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Onubense
37.5%

Draw
32.1%

Sevilla C
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

32.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

33.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Onubense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sevilla C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Onubense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (+1%)

Atlético Onubense - Sevilla C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Pecellin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Almeida J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).

Onubense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sevilla C is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Onubense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Onubense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Onubense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sevilla FC C	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
15	Atl. Onubense	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Onubense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.03.26	Linense - Atlético Onubense	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Atlético Onubense - Tomares	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Atlético Onubense - Pozoblanco	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	San Roque de Lepe - Atlético Onubense	4:0 ✺
01.02.26	Coria CF - Atlético Onubense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLLL
- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.03.26	Sevilla C - Ceuta B	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Sevilla C - Pozoblanco	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla C	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sevilla C - Castilleja	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Coria CF - Sevilla C	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
02.11.25	Sevilla C - Atlético Onubense	0:2
16.03.25	Sevilla C - Atlético Onubense	0:2
03.11.24	Atlético Onubense - Sevilla C	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.04.18	Sevilla C - Atlético Onubense	2:0

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