Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Sevilla C		Castilleja

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.05	3.75
	1.76	3.50	4.41	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4
	1.85	3.13	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)	4.08 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla C
48.8%

Draw
28.9%

Castilleja
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Sevilla C - Castilleja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 🟥,
80', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Sevilla C has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Castilleja has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Sevilla C has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sevilla C is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sevilla C won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sevilla C won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sevilla FC C	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.02.26	Coria CF - Sevilla C	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Córdoba B - Sevilla C	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sevilla C - Chiclana	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Conil - Sevilla C	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Atlético Central - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTLL
- Castilleja CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.02.26	Castilleja - Linense	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Castilleja - Pozoblanco	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	San Roque de Lepe - Castilleja	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Castilleja - Tomares	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Coria CF - Castilleja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.10.25	Castilleja - Sevilla C	2:0
14.02.21	Castilleja - Sevilla C	2:3
15.11.20	Sevilla C - Castilleja	2:1

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