Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Palencia		Colegios Diocesanos

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.1	9.1
	1.4	4.22	7.47
	1.39	4.36	7.29
	1.37	4.52	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.45)	4.3 ↑ (3.8)	8.12 ↑ (6.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Palencia
67.3%

Draw
21.4%

Colegios Diocesanos
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

23.8%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

23.4%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Colegios Diocesanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegios Diocesanos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Atlético Palencia - Colegios Diocesanos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Atlético Palencia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Palencia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Palencia CF	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
18	Colegios Diocesanos	5	0	1	4	1:10	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.03.26	Unionistas B - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Atlético Palencia - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Leonesa B - Atlético Palencia	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético Palencia - Mojados	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Almazán - Atlético Palencia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTWL
- CD Colegios Diocesanos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.03.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Becerril	1:5 ✺
28.02.26	Arandina - Colegios Diocesanos	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Bembibre	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Tordesillas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.02.24	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Palencia	0:1
16.09.23	Atlético Palencia - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0
02.04.22	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Palencia	0:1
21.11.21	Atlético Palencia - Colegios Diocesanos	4:0

Atlético Palencia - Colegios Diocesanos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide