Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Play Offs - FinalDate: 31 May 2026, Sunday
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Atlético Palencia |
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Guijuelo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.98 |
2.88 |
2.32 |
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 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
2.41 |
|
 |
3.39 |
2.61 |
2.45 |
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2.9 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
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3.3 |
2.67 |
2.37 |
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 |
2.55 |
2.7 |
2.43 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.55) |
2.76 ↑
(2.7) |
2.4 ↓
(2.43) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Palencia
29.5% | Draw
32.8% | Guijuelo
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Guijuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Atlético Palencia - Guijuelo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 1 - 0, Rivas E. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Elorza J. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 2, Garcia A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 3, Ruiz J. ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 3, Vallecillo D. ⚽,
- 85', Fassani G. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.Atlético Palencia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Guijuelo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Guijuelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Palencia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
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| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 28.02.26 | Atlético Palencia - Guijuelo | 1:2 | | 19.10.25 | Guijuelo - Atlético Palencia | 2:1 | | 06.02.22 | Atlético Palencia - Guijuelo | 3:2 | | 02.10.21 | Guijuelo - Atlético Palencia | 5:0 |
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