Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Palencia		Mojados

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	9.6
	1.21	5.58	13.37
	1.3	4.58	9.84
	1.22	5	12
	1.28	5.08	11.3
	1.23	4.75	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)	4.96 ↑ (4.43)	11.52 ↑ (8.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Palencia
73.5%

Draw
18.5%

Mojados
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

20.7%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

19.8%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Mojados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mojados than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Atlético Palencia - Mojados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 15).

Atlético Palencia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mojados's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Palencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Palencia is the clear favorite.

We predict that Atlético Palencia will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Palencia CF	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.02.26	Almazán - Atlético Palencia	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Palencia - Mirandés B	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Palencia - Becerril	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW
- CD Mojados
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.02.26	Mojados - Becerril	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Arandina - Mojados	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Mojados	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	La Virgen del Camino - Mojados	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Mojados - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.10.25	Mojados - Atlético Palencia	0:0
05.04.25	Atlético Palencia - Mojados	0:1
16.11.24	Mojados - Atlético Palencia	2:0

Atlético Palencia - Mojados: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide