Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Segunda RFEF 🌤️ ...


	Atlético Paso		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.45	3.20	2.45
	2.52	3.05	2.52
	2.41	3.15	2.41
	2.57	3.15	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.6
	2.52	3.02	2.57
	2.6	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.35)	3.12 ↓ (3.37)	2.54 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
35.7%

Draw
28.9%

Real Ávila
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Atlético Paso - Real Ávila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 13th in the Segunda RFEF - Play Out).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atl. Paso	8	2	3	3	9:9	0	9
15	Real Avila	8	2	1	5	7:14	-7	7

Last Results with these Odds

Real Ávila - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.10.26	Conquense - Atlético Paso	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Talavera de la Reina - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Paso - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Albacete B - Atlético Paso	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Paso - Atlético Madrid C	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWTL
- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.10.26	Valladolid B - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Real Ávila - Numancia	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Ávila	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Real Ávila - Getafe B	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Real Ávila - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWW

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