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Current Win Probability
Atlético Tordesillas 45.5%
Draw 29.2%
Santa Marta Tormes 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
28.9%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
30.1%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tordesillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Manja F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tordesillas won 1.
Tordesillas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Santa Marta Tormes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Santa Marta Tormes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tordesillas has had a series of home games.
Tordesillas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tordesillas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Tordesillas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Santa Marta Tormes - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.