The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlanta United II 47.6%
Draw 24%
Crown Legacy 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
25.6%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
25.2%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United II's performance.
Crown Legacy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crown Legacy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crown Legacy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlanta United II - Crown Legacy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Ranson J. (C) 44. Chica D. 82. Senanou M. 64. Cisset M. 50. Chong-Qui D. 16. Gill A. 78. Jardines A. 80. Tablante M. 56. Suarez I. 70. Dunbar C. 39. Kovac A.
50. Kalicanin L. (G) 94. Smith G. 39. Neeley J. 63. Holt W. 54. Ouedraogo A. 89. Mendoza A. 48. John A. 58. Longo D. 41. Romero B. 70. Uchegbu E. 27. Berchimas N.
Substitutes
38. Butts L. 60. Donaldson J. (G) 67. Dovlo E. 72. Ettinger I. 41. Majub T. 40. Pita S. 76. Santillan N. 81. Sibrian D. 23. Torres A.
74. Ayovi M. 87. Curtis E. 56. Pena E. 71. Richmond N. 91. Smalls M. 45. Smith J. 24. Thomas M. 79. Ventura S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Ouedraogo A. ⚽, John A. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Romero B. ⚽, Berchimas N. (A),
18', 1 - 2, Kovac A. (Penalty Awarded),
30', 2 - 2, Kovac A. ⚽, Dunbar C. (A),
45+5', Berchimas N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Romero B. ↓, Richmond N. ↑,
46', Uchegbu E. ↓, Ayovi M. ↑,
46', Suarez I. ↓, Dovlo E. ↑,
54', 2 - 3, Richmond N. ⚽,
58', Neeley J. 🟥,
60', 3 - 3, Chong-Qui D. ⚽, Dunbar C. (A),
61', Mendoza A. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
67', Dovlo E. 🟨,
70', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
77', Berchimas N. ↓, Pena E. ↑,
81', Dunbar C. ↓, Pita S. ↑,
90+2', Tablante M. ↓, Butts L. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Kovac A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Pena E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Chong-Qui D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, John A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Jardines A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Richmond N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pita S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Smith G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Gill A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Smith J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Crown Legacy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Atlanta United II could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta United II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
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Ranson J. (C) 
Chica D. 
Cisset M. 
Tablante M. 
Kalicanin L. (G) 
Ouedraogo A. 
Uchegbu E. 
Butts L. 
Dovlo E. 
Majub T. 
Sibrian D. 
Torres A. 
Ayovi M. 
Pena E. 
Smalls M. 
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