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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire II 31.7%
Draw 22.8%
Crown Legacy 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
25.2%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
24.8%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Crown Legacy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-1%)
Chicago Fire II - Crown Legacy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
60. Nemo J. (C) 55. Nigg D. 30. Sandmeyer J. 38. Cupps C. 62. Berg H. 57. Hyte D. 65. Pineda O. 66. Nagle C. 68. Glyut V. 28. Boltz D. 37. Turdean R.
50. Kalicanin L. (G) 87. Curtis E. 63. Holt W. 34. Johnson A. 90. Kamdem A. 95. Tonidandel S. 56. Pena E. 58. Longo D. 71. Richmond N. 83. Mbongue H. 27. Berchimas N.
Substitutes
54. Chavez E. 45. Clark M. 41. Diawara T. 34. Gonzalez O. 64. Herrera E. 76. Napoe M. 91. Pratt O. (G) 72. Villanueva D.
74. Ayovi M. 32. Blama B. 54. Ouedraogo A. 41. Romero B. 91. Smalls M. 45. Smith J. 70. Uchegbu E. 82. Urtecho B. (G) 79. Ventura S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Kamdem A. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Boltz D. ⚽,
39', Mbongue H. ↓, Uchegbu E. ↑,
44', Berchimas N. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Boltz D. ⚽, Glyut V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Glyut V. ↓, Napoe M. ↑,
46', Curtis E. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
46', Sandmeyer J. 🟨,
54', Nigg D. 🟨,
55', Romero B. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Turdean R. ↓, Villanueva D. ↑,
61', Boltz D. ↓, Diawara T. ↑,
63', Villanueva D. 🟨,
70', Nigg D. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Diawara T. ⚽, Villanueva D. (A),
71', Nagle C. 🟨,
75', Kamdem A. ↓, Ouedraogo A. ↑,
75', Pena E. ↓, Ayovi M. ↑,
80', Longo D. ↓, Smalls M. ↑,
89', Clark M. 🟨,
90+11', 3 - 2, Richmond N. ⚽, Ayovi M. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Recent performances by Chicago Fire II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crown Legacy is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Crown Legacy could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Crown Legacy - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.81%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.