The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carolina Core 22.2%
Draw 22%
Crown Legacy 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
26%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
26.5%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carolina Core's form might have worsened.
Crown Legacy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crown Legacy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carolina Core, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crown Legacy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carolina Core - Crown Legacy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Holliday N. (G) 21. Martinez N. 2. Orbaugh C. 4. Evers N. (C) 27. Czech A. 7. Zeegers T. 20. Raimbault T. 6. Montenegro R. 58. Diaz D. 26. Tattevin A. 15. Pineda T.
50. Kalicanin L. (G) 45. Smith J. 63. Holt W. 34. Johnson A. (C) 54. Ouedraogo A. 89. Mendoza A. 20. Coulibaly B. 48. John A. 70. Uchegbu E. 74. Ayovi M. 27. Berchimas N.
Substitutes
23. Aguirre R. 88. Baer R. 18. Colon D. 16. Diakite M. 19. Hammond S. 44. Jackson T. (G) 8. Lundeen C. 99. Rockhill G. 11. Sumo A.
87. Curtis E. 58. Longo D. 56. Pena E. 41. Romero B. 91. Smalls M. 99. Syrett G. (G) 24. Thomas M. 95. Tonidandel S. 79. Ventura S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Johnson A. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
38', Holt W. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Tattevin A. ⚽, Montenegro R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zeegers T. ↓, Baer R. ↑,
48', Czech A. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Tattevin A. ⚽, Diaz D. (A),
53', Ouedraogo A. 🟨,
54', Ayovi M. ↓, Ventura S. ↑,
55', Smith J. ↓, Longo D. ↑,
57', Diaz D. 🟨,
60', Diaz D. ↓, Hammond S. ↑,
64', Raimbault T. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
67', Baer R. 🟨,
69', Coulibaly B. 🟨,
72', Mendoza A. 🟨,
76', Coulibaly B. 🟨,
82', Czech A. ↓, Colon D. ↑,
82', Pineda T. ↓, Sumo A. ↑,
83', Berchimas N. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
84', Mendoza A. ↓, Smalls M. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 4.
Carolina Core is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Crown Legacy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Crown Legacy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Crown Legacy is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Carolina Core won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
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Holliday N. (G) 
Zeegers T. 
Raimbault T. 
Tattevin A. 
Kalicanin L. (G) 
Smith J. 
Johnson A. (C) 
Ouedraogo A. 
Coulibaly B. 
Uchegbu E. 
Ayovi M. 
Aguirre R. 
Sumo A. 
Longo D. 
Pena E. 
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