The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlanta United II 46.5%
Draw 22.6%
New York Red Bulls 2 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
23.4%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
21.4%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Atlanta United II - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Ranson J. (G) 82. Senanou M. (C) 64. Cisset M. 41. Majub T. 67. Dovlo E. 23. Torres A. 78. Jardines A. 50. Chong-Qui D. 56. Suarez I. 39. Kovac A. 70. Dunbar C.
55. Causey A. (G) 94. Baitinger S. 38. Bori J. 49. Munson J. 45. Faello C. 83. Rodriguez B. 61. Cadigan D. 80. Worth N. 70. Rojas A. 89. Gallagher C. 92. Nelich D.
Substitutes
61. Browne A. 44. Chica D. 60. Donaldson J. (G) 52. Fakiseyi O. 85. Henry A. 40. Pita S. 76. Santillan N. 81. Sibrian D. 33. Weah P.
60. Kone S. 98. Lopez A. (G) 52. Modelo A. 42. Morigi M. 95. Odeyinka M. 41. Sakai S. 71. Sanchez A. 82. Sissoko M. 62. Sokoloff P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
41', 0 - 1, Gallagher C. ⚽, Rojas A. (A),
45+1', Jardines A. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Rojas A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Majub T. ↓, Chica D. ↑,
47', Suarez I. ↓, Pita S. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Dovlo E. ⚽, Dunbar C. (A),
52', Chica D. 🟨,
59', Torres A. ↓, Sibrian D. ↑,
59', Chong-Qui D. ↓, Fakiseyi O. ↑,
66', Bori J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
66', Rodriguez B. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
66', Gallagher C. ↓, Sokoloff P. ↑,
77', Faello C. ↓, Modelo A. ↑,
86', Rojas A. ↓, Morigi M. ↑,
89', Jardines A. ↓, Weah P. ↑,
90+3', Morigi M. 🟨,
90+5', Senanou M. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 0.
Atlanta United II has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
New York Red Bulls 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atlanta United II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:38. (average 1.4:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta United II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).