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Current Win Probability
Atlanta United II 60.5%
Draw 20.1%
New York City II 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
20.7%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
21.9%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
The chances for New York City II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Atlanta United II - New York City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
60. Donaldson J. (G) 44. Chica D. 64. Cisset M. 41. Majub T. 67. Dovlo E. 78. Jardines A. 16. Gill A. 50. Chong-Qui D. 56. Suarez I. 70. Dunbar C. (C) 39. Kovac A.
90. McDermott D. (G) 77. Lopez J. 57. Suchecki J. (C) 45. Acito K. 52. Smith K. 27. Flax C. 71. Molinari P. 44. Sunjic L. 46. de Souza G. 83. Ponce J. 93. Samb E.
Substitutes
61. Browne A. 38. Butts L. 91. Clarson R. (G) 99. Coffing E. 85. Henry A. 76. Santillan N. 81. Sibrian D. 23. Torres A.
56. Bilden J. 82. Campos A. 79. Danquah C. 95. Daoud R. (G) 58. Martin E. 84. Vafiades N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kovac A. ⚽, Jardines A. (A),
18', Smith K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Chica D. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Kovac A. ⚽, Gill A. (A),
67', de Souza G. ↓, Vafiades N. ↑,
67', Samb E. ↓, Bilden J. ↑,
67', Suarez I. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
69', Flax C. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Vafiades N. ⚽,
78', Gill A. ↓, Sibrian D. ↑,
79', Kovac A. ↓, Butts L. ↑,
84', Cisset M. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Butts L. ⚽, Dunbar C. (A),
88', 3 - 2, Ponce J. ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
89', Smith K. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
89', Sunjic L. ↓, Danquah C. ↑,
90+1', Dunbar C. 🟨,
90+5', Donaldson J. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Atlanta United II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlanta United II is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta United II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).