Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN (Raseborg) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	16:00	Ruutu+


	Ekenäs		KaPa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.90	2.05
	2.85	3.85	1.96	Watch
	2.76	4.69	2.20
	3.07	4.43	1.95	Watch
	2.60	4.60	2.13
	2.76	3.94	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.79)	4.24 ↑ (3.72)	2.08 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
33.5%

Draw
21.9%

KaPa
44.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.4%

25.1%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

24.1%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

KaPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ekenäs - KaPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. EIF will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). KaPa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KaPa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mikkonen A. (G) 23. Bah S. 17. Etu F. 30. Gunes O. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 3. Maes D. 29. Mohamed F. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A. 13. Sallinen O.	1. Collin T. (G) 4. Hietalahti P. 2. Huhtamaki U. 17. Jokiranta V. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 28. Lappalainen E. 7. Leinonen N. 10. Lika Y. 3. Puputti S. 22. Ripatti D. 26. Toivonen H.
Substitutes
1. Anttalainen A. 25. Hamdi M. 27. Kocol D. 11. Mohammed N. 24. Pelkonen N. 21. Sandbacka A. 18. Sivonen A.	14. Ahola E. 35. Brusiin O. (G) 8. Huhtamaki R. 31. Isaksson K. 19. Koivuranta T. 21. Rokman D. 29. Salmi J. 39. Savini S. 11. Sillah S.
Coaches
Lignell M.	Lummepuro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Jokiranta V. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Kerrebijn R. ⚽, Peltola A. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Toivonen H. ⚽, Leinonen N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Kerrebijn R. ⚽, Gunes O. (A),
49', 2 - 2, Jokiranta V. ⚽, Leinonen N. (A),
61', Leinonen N. 🟨,
68', Lappalainen E. ↓, Sillah S. ↑,
68', Jokiranta V. ↓, Ahola E. ↑,
70', Huhtamaki U. 🟨,
74', Leinonen N. ↓, Rokman D. ↑,
74', Etu F. ↓, Mohammed N. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Kerrebijn R. ⚽, Mohammed N. (A),
83', Lucas Kaufmann ↓, Kocol D. ↑,
84', Puputti S. ↓, Salmi J. ↑,
85', Ripatti D. ↓, Isaksson K. ↑,
88', Mikkonen A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EIF won 4.

Recent results have been tough for EIF (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by KaPa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, EIF has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:11 (averaging 2.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for EIF against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 17:8 goals (averaging 2.4:1.1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

KaPa - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.47%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.10.26	Klubi 04 - Ekenäs	7:0 ✺
26.09.26	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	JäPS - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ekenäs - Haka	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLTT
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.10.26	KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	KaPa - Haka	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	SJK Akatemia - KaPa	2:3 ✺
11.09.26	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	1:4 ✺
07.09.26	Klubi 04 - KaPa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.08.26	KaPa - Ekenäs	0:1
23.05.26	Ekenäs - KaPa	1:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
06.02.26	Ekenäs - KaPa	1:1
Finnish Ykkosliiga
26.09.25	Ekenäs - KaPa	4:1
14.06.25	KaPa - Ekenäs	1:3
23.04.25	Ekenäs - KaPa	4:2
Club Friendly
29.03.24	Ekenäs - KaPa	2:2

Ekenäs - KaPa