Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Colomos (Zapopan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Atlas		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	5.3	4.35	1.45
	5.4	5.12	1.43
	5.34	4.86	1.48	Watch
	5	4	1.44
	5.74	4.7	1.4
	4.5	4.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (4.41)	4.55 ↑ (3.97)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
17.5%

Draw
20.1%

Cruz Azul
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

22.8%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.9%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cruz Azul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Atlas - Cruz Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 6. Acevedo V. 11. Ceren B. (C) 4. Jasso I. 17. Lopez A. 13. Maldonado M. 9. Munoz S. 23. Penuna V. 5. Sainz M. 3. Saravia L. 15. Villalobos N.	12. Godinez A. (C) 33. Chavarin A. 5. Frias A. 23. Gutierrez I. 29. Kanu U. 4. Karol Arcanjo 8. Lomeli A. 9. Martinez A. 17. Montano Osuna M. C. 3. Robe L. 26. Torres A.
Substitutes
24. Cardona A. 1. Contreras K. (G) 2. Delgado D. 7. Flores K. 20. Garcia J. 14. Huerta R. F. T. 18. Lara A. 56. Lopez K. 25. Meza D. 22. Nalukenge J.	18. Abam M. 7. Angeles L. 13. Calderon D. 28. Garcia A. 15. Grimaldo N. 14. Leon M. 16. Martinez L. 11. Mendoza D. 6. Rodriguez L. 1. Villeda M. (G)
Coaches
Alfaro J.	Testas D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽,
11', Acevedo V. ↓, Delgado D. ↑,
15', Lopez A. 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, Montano Osuna M. C. ⚽,
27', 0 - 3, Kanu U. ⚽,
31', Lopez A. ↓, Huerta R. F. T. ↑,
31', Penuna V. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
33', 1 - 3, Huerta R. F. T. ⚽,
35', 2 - 3, Munoz S. ⚽,
37', Huerta R. F. T. 🟨,
38', Garcia J. 🟨,
45+1', Kanu U. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
55', 2 - 4, Kanu U. ⚽,
58', Gutierrez I. ↓, Grimaldo N. ↑,
61', 2 - 5, Kanu U. ⚽,
65', 3 - 5, Huerta R. F. T. ⚽,
67', Frias A. ↓, Angeles L. ↑,
67', Karol Arcanjo ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
70', 4 - 5, Delgado D. ⚽,
73', 4 - 6, Chavarin A. ⚽,
79', Martinez A. ↓, Calderon D. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0.

Atlas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cruz Azul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cruz Azul is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
16.02.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas	4:2 ✺
10.02.26	Puebla - Atlas	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Atlas - UNAM	4:1 ✺
30.01.26	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Tigres UANL - Atlas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWTL
- Cruz Azul FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
14.02.26	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Cruz Azul - Club America	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Cruz Azul - Querétaro	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Juárez - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
19.07.25	Cruz Azul - Atlas	4:0
31.01.25	Atlas - Cruz Azul	1:1
28.07.24	Cruz Azul - Atlas	0:0
03.05.24	Atlas - Cruz Azul	1:1
11.09.23	Cruz Azul - Atlas	2:0
26.02.23	Atlas - Cruz Azul	1:0
28.07.22	Cruz Azul - Atlas	0:0

Atlas - Cruz Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide