The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas 22.3%
Draw 22.4%
UNAM 55.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23%
24%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
23.3%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Atlas aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Atlas - UNAM Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 11. Ceren B. (C) 7. Flores K. 4. Jasso I. 17. Lopez A. 13. Maldonado M. 9. Munoz S. 23. Penuna V. 5. Sainz M. 3. Saravia L. 15. Villalobos N.
27. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 22. Becerril K. 11. Bolanos N. 18. Bonilla W. 13. Chavero P. 15. Gaynor C. 23. Hernandez D. 12. Hix A. 26. Huerta A. 2. Ramirez K. 10. Torres C. (C)
Substitutes
6. Acevedo V. 24. Cardona A. 1. Contreras K. (G) 2. Delgado D. 20. Garcia J. 14. Huerta R. F. T. 18. Lara A. 56. Lopez K. 25. Meza D. 26. Peregrina Figueroa A. M.
14. Davila J. 21. Delgado F. 28. Flores S. 30. Gonzalez M. 16. Guerrero A. 20. Lopez J. (G) 8. Serna L.
Coaches
Alfaro J.
Medina R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Ceren B. ⚽,
32', Sainz M. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Munoz S. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Bonilla W. ⚽,
42', 3 - 1, Munoz S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Huerta A. ↓, Serna L. ↑,
53', Flores K. ↓, Acevedo V. ↑,
58', Penuna V. 🟨,
59', 4 - 1, Acevedo V. ⚽,
61', Becerril K. 🟨,
63', Hix A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
63', Becerril K. ↓, Flores S. ↑,
69', Villalobos N. ↓, Huerta R. F. T. ↑,
69', Lopez A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
78', Bonilla W. ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
78', Hernandez D. ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
80', Ceren B. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
80', Sainz M. ↓, Delgado D. ↑,
84', Huerta R. F. T. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.
Atlas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
UNAM is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, UNAM is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).