Match Info

Date: 18 January 2021, Monday


	Atlas		Defensores de Cambaceres

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.75
	2.05	2.7	3.9
	2.05	2.8	3.8
	2.13	2.94	4.15
	2.1	2.7	3.75
	2.07	2.96	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)	2.83 ↓ (2.91)	3.85 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
44.1%

Draw
32.2%

Defensores de Cambaceres
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

31.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

21.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Defensores de Cambaceres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Cambaceres than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Cambaceres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlas - Defensores de Cambaceres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Atlas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlas won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
17.01.21	Querétaro - Atlas	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera D
12.01.21	Atlas - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
09.01.21	Atlas - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera D
03.01.21	Lugano - Atlas	0:0 ✺
21.12.20	Atlas - Atlético Claypole	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTT
- Defensores de Cambaceres
Argentinian Primera D
12.01.21	Atlético Claypole - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0 ✺
04.01.21	Defensores de Cambaceres - Liniers	1:2 ✺
29.12.20	Sportivo Barracas - Defensores de Cambaceres	3:0 ✺
14.12.20	Defensores de Cambaceres - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:1 ✺
08.12.20	Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera D
05.12.20	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlas	0:1
15.02.20	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlas	1:4
13.09.19	Atlas - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0
15.04.19	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlas	0:0
09.11.18	Atlas - Defensores de Cambaceres	5:1

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