The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético San Luis 36%
Draw 26.8%
Atlas 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
26.9%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
26%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético San Luis's form might have worsened.
Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Atlético San Luis - Atlas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 4th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Atlético San Luis has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:22 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético San Luis against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:8 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Atlas
14
7
3
4
25:26
-1
24
11
Atl. San Luis
14
5
4
5
19:22
-3
19
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Atlas: 4.78%
Last Results with these Odds
Atlas - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.05%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.