Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Alfonso Lastras (San Luis Potosí)

Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atlético San Luis		Atlas

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.8	4	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.7
	1.84	3.96	4.18
	1.86	3.72	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)	3.8 ↑ (3.77)	3.91 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético San Luis
51%

Draw
24.8%

Atlas
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

26.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Atlético San Luis - Atlas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Atlas (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 3. Robson Bambu 31. Aguila E. 8. Sanabria J. (C) 21. Macias O. 19. Salles-Lamonge S. 7. Galdames B. 26. Perez S. 14. Garcia M. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao	12. Vargas C. (C) 13. Aguirre G. 5. Matheus Doria 4. Mora A. 3. Gustavo Ferrareis 16. Ramirez A. 15. Ramirez P. 199. Hernandez S. 11. Gonzalez D. 8. Garcia M. E. 32. Djurdjevic U.
Substitutes
25. Barajas F. 18. Cruz A. 4. Dominguez J. 15. Guillen D. 34. Lajud G. (G) 16. Marchand J. 194. Mares C. 13. Rodrigo Dourado 29. Suarez J. 62. Tepa	19. Aguirre E. 7. Coccaro M. 10. del Prete G. 58. Gonzalez A. 23. Orrantia C. 44. Pier R. 14. Ramos C. (G) 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 25. Rodriguez J. 218. San Martin J.
Coaches
Abascal G.	Cocca D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro Galvao (Pen),
43', 2 - 0, Macias O. ⚽, Sanabria J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Macias O. ↓, Rodrigo Dourado ↑,
56', Gonzalez D. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
56', Ramirez A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
71', Djurdjevic U. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
71', Hernandez S. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
76', Garcia M. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
84', Perez S. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
86', Mora A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
90+3', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Marchand J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2.

Atlético San Luis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Atlético San Luis is the team to beat.

There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Juanpe (Muscle Injury) Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Lozano J. (Muscle Injury) Ortega E. (Suspended) Pier R. (Muscle Injury) Rios De Alba V. H. (Muscle Injury) Rocha A. (Muscle Injury) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
03.10.25	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pachuca - Atlético San Luis	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Atlético San Luis - Club América	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Santos Laguna - Atlético San Luis	1:4 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWT
- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
03.10.25	Atlas - Juárez	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Atlas - Necaxa	3:2 ✺
24.09.25	Tigres UANL - Atlas	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Mazatlan - Atlas	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Atlas - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
02.03.25	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	3:1
30.08.24	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	2:1
14.04.24	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	2:1
03.09.23	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	2:0
29.04.23	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	0:0
11.09.22	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	1:3
15.01.22	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	1:0

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