Match Info

Date: 3 January 2021, Sunday


	Lugano		Atlas

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.95	2.05
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.8	2.85	2.02
	4.08	2.92	2.16
	3.6	2.8	2.1
	3.56	2.93	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (3.99)	2.91 ↓ (3.21)	2.08 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
24.8%

Draw
31.3%

Atlas
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

27.9%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.4%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugano - Atlas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lugano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlas is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lugano won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Argentinian Primera D
27.12.20	Atlético Claypole - Lugano	2:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
23.12.20	Lugano - Lausanne-Sport	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Young Boys - Lugano	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera D
18.12.20	Lugano - Liniers	0:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
16.12.20	St. Gallen - Lugano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TTTTT
- Club Atlas
Argentinian Primera D
21.12.20	Atlas - Atlético Claypole	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	Liniers - Atlas	1:0 ✺
08.12.20	Atlas - Sportivo Barracas	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlas	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
07.11.20	Tigres UANL - Atlas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera D
21.10.19	Lugano - Atlas	1:0
28.04.19	Lugano - Atlas	1:0
25.11.18	Atlas - Lugano	2:0
12.02.18	Lugano - Atlas	0:0
09.09.17	Atlas - Lugano	1:1
08.03.17	Lugano - Atlas	2:2
30.08.16	Atlas - Lugano	2:2

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