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Current Win Probability
Atlas General Rodríguez 38.1%
Draw 33%
Sportivo Barracas 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
29.4%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
28.2%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas General Rodríguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Sportivo Barracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas General Rodríguez than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Atlas General Rodríguez - Sportivo Barracas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Cordoba F. A. ⚽,
38', Rosas J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Alcaraz G. ⚽,
Preview
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Sportivo Barracas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlas has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Atlas has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlas General Rodríguez - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 38.62%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Sportivo Barracas - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.02%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.