The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas General Rodríguez 37.8%
Draw 32.6%
El Porvenir 29.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.3%
32.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
31.9%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas General Rodríguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas General Rodríguez than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Atlas General Rodríguez - El Porvenir Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, De Benedetti N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Meza A. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Oviedo N. ⚽,
90+3', Quinteros J. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 3.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Atlas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Atlas has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).