The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas General Rodríguez 35%
Draw 31.4%
El Porvenir 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
32.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
31.9%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas General Rodríguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas General Rodríguez than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Atlas General Rodríguez - El Porvenir Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 3.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Atlas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Atlas has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).