Match Info

Primera C - Round 28

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	LPF Play


	Juventud Unida de San Miguel		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.75	2.75
	2.45	2.63	3.34
	2.41	2.71	3.24	Watch
	2.40	2.40	3.30
	2.41	2.88	3.25
	2.39	2.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.7)	2.67 ↓ (2.75)	3.16 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud Unida de San Miguel
37.3%

Draw
34%

El Porvenir
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

32.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

32.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud Unida de San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Porvenir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Porvenir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juventud Unida de San Miguel - El Porvenir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Perez Diaz L. ⚽,
81', Alvarenga M. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Juventud Unida has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventud Unida won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Juventud Unida de San Miguel - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 32.89%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

El Porvenir - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud Unida de San Miguel
Argentinian Primera C
06.09.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes	4:1 ✺
25.08.26	Leandro N. Alem - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLW
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
05.09.26	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole	4:2 ✺
23.08.26	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	El Porvenir - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
16.05.26	El Porvenir - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:1
06.10.24	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - El Porvenir	1:0
04.05.24	El Porvenir - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:0
Argentinian Primera D
14.10.23	El Porvenir - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:1
09.07.23	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - El Porvenir	1:1
01.04.23	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - El Porvenir	2:0
03.05.16	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - El Porvenir	2:3

Juventud Unida de San Miguel - El Porvenir