Match Info

Primera C - Round 29

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	El Porvenir		Deportivo Español

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.52	2.55	Watch
	3	2.59	2.56
	2.8	2.65	2.8	Watch
	2.95	2.55	2.5
	2.98	2.78	2.68	Watch
	2.95	2.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.4)	2.61 ↓ (2.8)	2.62 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
30.8%

Draw
34.7%

Deportivo Español
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

32.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Porvenir's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Porvenir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

El Porvenir - Deportivo Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Perez P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, Rios N. ⚽,
84', Villagra L. 🟥,
87', Romero K. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, El Porvenir has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:10 (averaging 0.5:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for El Porvenir against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.2:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

El Porvenir - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Español - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
12.09.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole	4:2 ✺
23.08.26	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTW
- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
10.09.26	Mercedes - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Español - Fénix	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sportivo Barracas - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	Deportivo Español - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
17.08.26	Deportivo Español - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
23.05.26	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:0
18.08.25	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:2
03.05.25	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:1
15.11.24	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:1
15.06.24	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:0
17.09.22	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	3:1
15.05.22	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:2

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