Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 17

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday


	Atletico Castegnato		Adriese

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.87
	3.43	3.32	1.83
	3.4	3.4	1.8
	3.78	3.55	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.82)	3.42 ↓ (3.44)	1.83 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Castegnato
25.2%

Draw
26%

Adriese
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

26.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Castegnato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atletico Castegnato's form might have worsened.

Adriese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adriese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Castegnato than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atletico Castegnato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adriese than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adriese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 12).

Castegnato is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Adriese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Adriese will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Castegnato
Italian Serie D - Group C
16.12.23	Treviso - Atletico Castegnato	4:0 ✺
10.12.23	Montecchio Maggiore - Atletico Castegnato	3:1 ✺
03.12.23	Atletico Castegnato - Chions	3:1 ✺
26.11.23	Virtus Bolzano - Atletico Castegnato	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Atletico Castegnato - Montebelluna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTL
- US Adriese
Italian Serie D - Group C
16.12.23	Adriese - Campodarsego	2:3 ✺
10.12.23	Adriese - Virtus Bolzano	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Mestre - Adriese	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Adriese - Portogruaro Summaga	5:0 ✺
19.11.23	Cjarlins Muzane - Adriese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWT

Atletico Castegnato - Adriese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide