Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Atletico Lodigiani		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.1	2.68
	2.34	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.33	3.14	2.83
	2.36	3.13	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.24)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	2.76 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Lodigiani
38.4%

Draw
28.7%

Nocerina
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

27.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Lodigiani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Lodigiani than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Atletico Lodigiani - Nocerina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atletico Lodigiani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atletico Lodigiani won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Atl. Lodigiani	9	0	2	7	9:23	-14	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Lodigiani
Italian Serie D - Group G
02.04.26	Montespaccato - Atletico Lodigiani	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Atletico Lodigiani - Albalonga	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Palmese 1914 - Atletico Lodigiani	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Atletico Lodigiani - Trastevere	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Anzio - Atletico Lodigiani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLT
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group G
02.04.26	Nocerina - Latte Dolce	0:3 ✺
29.03.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Nocerina	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Nocerina - Valmontone	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cassino - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Nocerina - Real Monterotondo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
30.11.25	Nocerina - Atletico Lodigiani	1:1

Atletico Lodigiani - Nocerina