Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Sarrabus Ogliastra		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	2.52	3	2.58
	2.58	3.14	2.58	Watch
	2.53	3.08	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.52)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.57 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarrabus Ogliastra
35.5%

Draw
29.4%

Nocerina
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.8%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sarrabus Ogliastra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Nocerina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Sarrabus Ogliastra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nocerina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sarrabus Ogliastra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sarrabus Ogliastra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sarrabus Ogliastra	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
22.03.26	Montespaccato - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Albalonga	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Palmese 1914 - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Trastevere	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Anzio - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWTWW
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group G
22.03.26	Nocerina - Valmontone	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cassino - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Nocerina - Real Monterotondo	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Montespaccato - Nocerina	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Nocerina - Budoni	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
16.11.25	Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:1
24.02.24	Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:0
22.10.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Nocerina	3:2

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