Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Nocerina		Real Monterotondo

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.6	6.5
	1.48	3.64	6.93	Watch
	1.46	3.58	7.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	3.61 ↓ (3.63)	6.91 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nocerina
61.7%

Draw
25.2%

Real Monterotondo
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

25.1%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

24.3%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Real Monterotondo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Real Monterotondo aligns with the current prediction.

Nocerina - Real Monterotondo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Tenkorang J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Nocerina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Monterotondo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nocerina is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group G
22.02.26	Montespaccato - Nocerina	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Nocerina - Budoni	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Nocerina - Palmese 1914	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Nocerina - Anzio	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Albalonga - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLTW
- Real Monterotondo
Italian Serie D - Group G
22.02.26	Real Monterotondo - Anzio	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Albalonga - Real Monterotondo	5:3 ✺
08.02.26	Real Monterotondo - Scafatese	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Trastevere - Real Monterotondo	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Real Monterotondo - Ischia Isolaverde	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
26.10.25	Real Monterotondo - Nocerina	1:3

Nocerina - Real Monterotondo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide