Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Atlètic Lleida		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.25
	10.66	7.14	1.18	Watch
	1.84	3.88	3.36
	1.85	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (1.97)	4.64 ↑ (3.79)	2.82 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlètic Lleida
30.2%

Draw
26.4%

Castellon B
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

24.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

24.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlètic Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlètic Lleida's form might have worsened.

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellon B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlètic Lleida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlètic Lleida - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Segura C. (Pen),
16', 1 - 1, Giovanni ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Alminana D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 3, Selles D. ⚽,
68', 2 - 3, Sidibe M. ⚽,
82', 2 - 4, Miguleon ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Atlètic Lleida has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Castellon B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlètic Lleida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlètic Lleida is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.10.25	Barbastro - Atlètic Lleida	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
15.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Ourense CF	3:4 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
12.10.25	Espanyol B - Atlètic Lleida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWLL
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.10.25	Castellon B - Terrassa	3:3 ✺
19.10.25	Poblense - Castellon B	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Castellon B - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Valencia B - Castellon B	3:3 ✺
28.09.25	Castellon B - Alcoyano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWTW

Upcoming Matches