Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 6Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Spain | 12:00 | Footballclub |
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Poblense |
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Castellon B |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.15 |
3.25 |
2.80 |
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 |
2.28 |
2.90 |
2.95 |
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 |
2.48 |
3.31 |
2.68 |
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2.26 |
3.22 |
2.99 |
 Watch |
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2.45 |
3.25 |
2.65 |
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2.27 |
3.43 |
2.96 |
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 |
2.18 |
3.30 |
2.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.95) |
3.24 ↓
(3.36) |
2.85 ↓
(3.27) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Poblense
39.8% | Draw
28.2% | Castellon B
32% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poblense's form might have worsened.Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poblense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Poblense - Castellon B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Duran J. ⚽,
- 32', Font N. 🟥,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 81', 2 - 1, Frau S. ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion).Poblense has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Castellon B shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Poblense may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Poblense has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Poblense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Castellon B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
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| 10 | Poblense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Castellon B - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 27.43%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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