Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Atlètic Lleida		Vilassar de Mar

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	6
	1.46	4	6
	1.47	3.95	6.49
	1.46	3.88	6.39
	1.46	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)	3.97 ↓ (4.2)	6.18 ↓ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlètic Lleida
62.4%

Draw
22.9%

Vilassar de Mar
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

20.9%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlètic Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Vilassar de Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlètic Lleida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Atlètic Lleida - Vilassar de Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ortega J. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Aless ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Atlètic Lleida is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vilassar de Mar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Atlètic Lleida is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlètic Lleida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlètic Lleida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
19.04.25	CE Europa B - Atlètic Lleida	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Atlètic Lleida - Montañesa	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Atlètic Lleida - Peralada	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Mollerussa - Atlètic Lleida	0:4 ✺
23.03.25	Atlètic Lleida - LHospitalet	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTWT
- UE Vilassar de Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.04.25	Vilassar de Mar - Peralada	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Mollerussa - Vilassar de Mar	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Vilassar de Mar - LHospitalet	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	LEscala - Vilassar de Mar	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Vilassar de Mar - Badalona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Vilassar de Mar - Atlètic Lleida	2:2

Atlètic Lleida - Vilassar de Mar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide