The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Baleares 44%
Draw 29.8%
Alcoyano 26.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
29.5%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
30.5%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Baleares's performance.
Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcoyano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Atlético Baleares - Alcoyano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Catala A. ⚽,
69', 2 - 0, Andone F. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th in the Segunda RFEF - Play Out and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baleares won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Alcoyano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Baleares holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Baleares has recorded 7 wins, 11 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:14 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Baleares against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.5:0.9 per game).
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