The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UCAM Murcia 46%
Draw 29.4%
Alcoyano 24.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29.6%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
30.9%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.
Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcoyano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcoyano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UCAM Murcia - Alcoyano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 1 - 0, Aquino D. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 0, Castillo M. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
In recent outings, UCAM Murcia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Alcoyano shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
UCAM Murcia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
UCAM Murcia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, UCAM Murcia has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UCAM Murcia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
UCAM Murcia
8
5
0
3
17:10
7
15
11
Alcoyano
7
3
1
3
6:8
-2
10
Last Results with these Odds
UCAM Murcia - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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