The best margin for this event is 11.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UCAM Murcia 37.4%
Draw 29.6%
Alcoyano 33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
30.9%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for UCAM Murcia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Alcoyano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
UCAM Murcia - Alcoyano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
In recent outings, UCAM Murcia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Alcoyano is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Alcoyano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, UCAM Murcia has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UCAM Murcia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Alcoyano
5
3
1
1
6:4
2
10
5
UCAM Murcia
5
3
0
2
12:6
6
9
Last Results with these Odds
UCAM Murcia - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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