Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Balear (Palma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3


	Atlético Baleares		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.25	3.2	2.88
	2.14	3.55	2.95	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3
	2.03	3.75	3.23
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.46)	3.38 ↑ (3.07)	2.97 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
42.2%

Draw
27.1%

Barcelona B
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Atlético Baleares - Barcelona B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Keita M. (Penalty Awarded),
10', 2 - 0, Bonet G. ⚽,
20', 3 - 0, Tovar J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
51', 3 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
68', 3 - 2, Hernandez J. ⚽,
76', 4 - 2, Morillo V. ⚽,
86', 4 - 3, Mbacke M. ⚽,
88', 4 - 4, Issah A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baleares won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barcelona B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baleares is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Baleares won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Baleares won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.12.25	Terrassa - Atlético Baleares	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Porreres	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37 LLWWW
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.12.25	Alcoyano - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Barbastro - Barcelona B	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Barcelona B - Terrassa	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Espanyol B - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Barcelona B - Torrent	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.04.23	Barcelona B - Atlético Baleares	2:2
09.10.22	Atlético Baleares - Barcelona B	3:2
17.04.22	Atlético Baleares - Barcelona B	6:2
12.12.21	Barcelona B - Atlético Baleares	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.02.19	Atlético Baleares - Barcelona B	1:0
06.10.18	Barcelona B - Atlético Baleares	1:1
05.02.17	Atlético Baleares - Barcelona B	2:1

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