Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Balear (Palma)


	Atlético Baleares		Porreres

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.35	7.7
	1.37	4.26	8.26
	1.34	4.6	8.22	Watch
	1.33	4	9
	1.34	4.1	9.1
	1.37	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)	8.38 ↑ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
67.7%

Draw
21.4%

Porreres
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

24.2%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

23.2%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Porreres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porreres than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Atlético Baleares - Porreres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, Bonet G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Baleares is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Porreres has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Baleares may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baleares is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Baleares will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.11.25	Atlètic Lleida - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Atlético Baleares - Poblense	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Torrent - Atlético Baleares	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Atlético Baleares - Girona B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41 WWWWT
- UE Porreres
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.11.25	Porreres - Reus FC Reddis	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Alcoyano - Porreres	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Porreres - Castellon B	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Olot - Porreres	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Porreres - Sant Andreu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLLTW

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