Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense 2 - Round 7

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Catarinense		Atlético Tubarão

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.65
	5.04	3.95	1.57	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.6
	4.95	3.9	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (2.53)	3.83 ↑ (3.31)	1.6 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Catarinense
19.3%

Draw
23.8%

Atlético Tubarão
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Catarinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Catarinense's form might have worsened.

Atlético Tubarão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Tubarão's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Catarinense than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Catarinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tubarão than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Tubarão, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Catarinense - Atlético Tubarão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
12', 1 - 0, Elieser ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, dos Santos Soares G. ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, Stallbaum J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 3, Kesley ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 4, dos Santos Soares G. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlético Tubarão could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético Tubarão will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Catarinense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
23.06.24	Atlético Catarinense - Grêmio Juventus	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Santa Catarina - Atlético Catarinense	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	Atlético Catarinense - Caravaggio	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Blumenau - Atlético Catarinense	2:2 ✺
26.05.24	Atlético Catarinense - Carlos Renaux	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLTT
- Atlético Tubarão
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
30.06.24	Atlético Tubarão - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Camboriú - Atlético Tubarão	0:1 ✺
16.06.24	Guarani de Palhoça - Atlético Tubarão	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Atlético Tubarão - Carlos Renaux	0:0 ✺
02.06.24	Atlético Tubarão - Metropolitano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLTT

Atlético Catarinense - Atlético Tubarão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide